Bitcoin’s price action remains under pressure as the leading cryptocurrency struggles to maintain support at $81,000. The latest analysis using the Bitcoin Realized Price by Inter-Cycle Cohort Age model suggests this correction phase could extend for nearly two more months before finding resolution.
In what has become a pivotal moment for crypto markets, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements have sent shockwaves through both traditional and digital asset markets, adding another layer of uncertainty to Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
Understanding the Dead Cross Pattern
Renowned analyst Axel Adler’s examination of the Bitcoin Realized Price model reveals a critical “Dead Cross” pattern that began 28 days ago. This technical formation occurs when the realized price of newer investors crosses below that of long-term holders – historically a reliable indicator of correction phases within broader bull markets.
Key findings from the analysis:
- Average Dead Cross duration: 85 days
- Current phase: 28 days in
- Estimated remaining time: 57 days
- No 365-day moving average breach (ruling out bear market)
Market Impact and Price Levels
The current market structure shows Bitcoin trading at $83,000, facing several critical technical levels:
| Price Level | Significance |
|---|---|
| $84,800 | 4-hour 200 MA resistance |
| $81,000 | Critical support zone |
| $88,000 | Key breakout level |
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Expert Analysis and Future Outlook
While the immediate outlook remains cautious, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable resilience at key support levels despite broader market turbulence. The absence of a breach below the 365-day moving average suggests this correction remains part of a larger bull cycle rather than the beginning of a bear market.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is a Dead Cross in Bitcoin terms?
A: A Dead Cross occurs when the realized price of short-term holders falls below that of long-term holders, typically signaling a correction phase.
Q: How long do Bitcoin correction phases typically last?
A: Based on historical data, correction phases marked by Dead Cross patterns average 85 days in duration.
Q: What would signal the end of the current correction?
A: A decisive break above $88,000 with sustained volume would indicate correction completion and potential trend reversal.
Investors should maintain vigilance as markets navigate this correction phase while keeping perspective on Bitcoin’s longer-term bull cycle positioning.