Defx Insights

Tag: Trump Tariffs

  • Ethereum Price Surges 10% After Trump Tariff Pause – $1,800 Target Next?

    Ethereum Price Surges 10% After Trump Tariff Pause – $1,800 Target Next?

    Ethereum (ETH) has staged a remarkable 10% recovery in the past 24 hours, igniting hopes for a potential rally toward the critical $1,800 resistance level. This surge comes as President Trump’s announcement of a 90-day tariff pause catalyzes a broader crypto market rebound.

    Market Recovery: From $1,385 Low to $1,600 Breakthrough

    The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization hit a concerning two-year low of $1,385 during this week’s correction, sparking fears among investors. This downturn saw ETH lose its crucial $2,100-$3,900 macro range support on March 9, resulting in a 16% monthly decline.

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    Technical Analysis Points to Potential Breakout

    Several key technical indicators suggest Ethereum could be preparing for a significant move higher:

    • RSI showing bullish divergence on the ETH/BTC pair
    • Formation of a falling wedge pattern with potential breakout at $1,840
    • Triple test of key trendline support, similar to 2021 pre-rally pattern

    Critical Price Levels to Watch

    For sustained bullish momentum, analysts highlight several crucial levels:

    • Immediate resistance: $1,700
    • Key breakout level: $1,840
    • Weekly support: $1,550
    • Critical demand zone: $1,480-$1,500

    Expert Analysis and Market Outlook

    Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto points to encouraging signs on the ETH/BTC chart, noting pattern similarities to Ethereum’s 2021 bull run. Meanwhile, trader Lluciano identifies the current price action as potentially preceding a ‘bullish reversal.’

    FAQ Section

    Q: What caused Ethereum’s recent price surge?
    A: The 10% recovery was primarily triggered by President Trump’s announcement of a 90-day pause on trade tariffs for over 75 nations.

    Q: What are the key resistance levels for ETH?
    A: The immediate resistance lies at $1,700, with a crucial breakout level at $1,840.

    Q: Could Ethereum return to its previous lows?
    A: While possible, analysts suggest the $1,550 support level needs to hold to prevent a retest of the $1,385 lows.

    Conclusion and Market Implications

    As Ethereum trades at $1,566, the market appears poised for potential upside, particularly if global trade tensions continue to ease. However, traders should remain cautious and monitor key technical levels for confirmation of the bullish scenario.

  • Bitcoin, Ethereum Hit 2025 Lows as Trump Tariffs Trigger Market Exodus

    Bitcoin, Ethereum Hit 2025 Lows as Trump Tariffs Trigger Market Exodus

    Key Takeaways:

    • Bitcoin plunges to $74,500, while Ethereum drops to $1,380
    • Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs spark widespread crypto sell-off
    • Glassnode data indicates potential seller exhaustion forming

    The cryptocurrency market faced severe turbulence as President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs triggered a massive sell-off, sending Bitcoin below critical support levels and pushing major digital assets to their lowest points since early 2023.

    According to Glassnode’s latest market analysis, Bitcoin plummeted to $74,500 while Ethereum reached $1,380, marking a significant downturn that has rattled investor confidence. However, emerging data suggests this intense selling pressure might be reaching its limits.

    Market Impact Analysis

    The recent price action follows a broader pattern of market-wide liquidations, with researchers Ukuriaoc and Cryptovizart identifying two key factors behind the decline:

    • Tariff-induced liquidity strains
    • Weakening U.S. dollar performance

    Signs of Seller Exhaustion

    Despite the bearish price action, Glassnode’s on-chain metrics reveal potential seller exhaustion forming in both Bitcoin and Ethereum markets. Key indicators include:

    • Declining sell-side pressure
    • Increasing accumulation by long-term holders
    • Rising whale address activity

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    Expert Analysis

    Market analysts suggest the current downturn could present a strategic entry point for long-term investors. The convergence of technical indicators and on-chain metrics points to a potential trend reversal in the coming weeks.

    FAQ Section

    Q: What caused the recent crypto market crash?
    A: The primary catalyst was President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, which sparked concerns about global liquidity and economic stability.

    Q: Are Bitcoin and Ethereum showing signs of recovery?
    A: While prices remain under pressure, Glassnode data indicates decreasing sell-side momentum and potential seller exhaustion.

    Q: How does this compare to previous market corrections?
    A: The current correction represents the largest drawdown since early 2023, though on-chain metrics suggest stronger fundamental support than previous downturns.

  • Bitcoin Price Swings Between $83K-$79K Despite Trump Tariff Truce

    Bitcoin Price Swings Between $83K-$79K Despite Trump Tariff Truce

    Bitcoin’s price action remains volatile despite positive macroeconomic developments, as the leading cryptocurrency whipsawed between $83,000 and $79,000 in the past 24 hours. The initial surge past $83K was triggered by President Trump’s tariff pause announcement, but the gains proved short-lived.

    Key Market Movements

    • Bitcoin surged to $83,000 late Wednesday following Trump’s 90-day tariff pause
    • Price retreated to $79,000 on Thursday morning despite positive inflation data
    • 24-hour trading volume exceeded $48 billion across major exchanges
    • Market volatility indicators suggest continued choppy trading ahead

    Macro Factors at Play

    The cryptocurrency market’s reaction to macro events has intensified in 2025. Recent CPI data showing cooling inflation initially supported Bitcoin’s price, but failed to prevent the subsequent decline. This suggests that while macro factors influence crypto markets, other technical and market-specific dynamics are equally important.

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    Technical Analysis

    Key support levels remain at $77,000 and $75,000, while resistance sits at $83,500 and $85,000. The recent price action has formed a classic consolidation pattern, suggesting a major move could be imminent.

    Expert Outlook

    Market analysts remain divided on Bitcoin’s short-term direction. While some point to the positive macro backdrop as a catalyst for further gains, others warn of potential volatility ahead of the upcoming halving event.

    FAQ

    Why did Bitcoin drop despite positive news?

    Market dynamics suggest profit-taking and technical factors overshadowed positive macro developments.

    What impact could the tariff pause have on crypto?

    The 90-day pause may reduce market uncertainty and potentially support crypto prices in the medium term.

    Where is Bitcoin’s next major support level?

    Strong technical support exists at $77,000, with additional backing at $75,000.

  • Solana Price Surges 25% to $114: Trump Tariff Pause Ignites Recovery

    Solana Price Surges 25% to $114: Trump Tariff Pause Ignites Recovery

    Solana (SOL) has staged a remarkable comeback, surging over 25% from its recent low of $95 as President Trump’s surprise tariff pause announcement reinvigorates crypto markets. The sharp recovery comes amid broader market optimism, with the entire crypto sector rallying on Trump’s trade policy shift.

    Top crypto analyst Bluntz suggests this bounce could mark the beginning of a sustained recovery phase, potentially mirroring SOL’s previous three-month downtrend in duration. His technical analysis points to a possible 75% upside move, targeting the $200 level.

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    Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

    SOL currently trades at $114, having bounced strongly from the critical $100 support. For the recovery to gain momentum, bulls need to reclaim several key technical levels:

    • Immediate resistance: $120
    • 4-hour 200MA and EMA: $130
    • Critical support to hold: $110
    • Previous resistance zone: $150-$180

    Macro Factors Supporting Recovery

    The recovery aligns with improving macro conditions as Trump’s 90-day tariff pause excludes China while providing relief to other trading partners. This policy shift has triggered renewed risk appetite across financial markets, particularly benefiting high-beta crypto assets like Solana.

    What’s Next for SOL?

    While the immediate outlook appears promising, several factors will determine whether this recovery can extend toward the $200 target:

    1. Sustained trading volume above recent averages
    2. Successful reclaim of the $130 resistance level
    3. Continued improvement in broader market sentiment
    4. Institutional flow data showing renewed interest

    FAQ

    Q: What caused Solana’s recent price surge?
    A: The 25% rally was primarily triggered by President Trump’s announcement of a 90-day tariff pause, which improved overall market sentiment.

    Q: What are the key price levels to watch?
    A: Bulls need to defend $110 support while pushing above $130 to confirm the recovery. The ultimate target sits at $200.

    Q: How long could this recovery last?
    A: According to analyst Bluntz, the recovery phase could mirror the previous three-month downtrend in duration.

  • Bitcoin Surges to $83K as Trump’s Tariff Pause Sparks Crypto Rally

    Bitcoin Surges to $83K as Trump’s Tariff Pause Sparks Crypto Rally

    Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rebound after Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on most tariffs, with BTC surging to $83,000 and meme coins seeing renewed momentum. This latest rally marks a decisive shift in market sentiment, as investors respond positively to easing trade tensions.

    Market Response to Tariff Pause

    The immediate market reaction was dramatic:

    • Bitcoin ($BTC) reached $83,000
    • MicroStrategy stock jumped 23% in 24 hours
    • Crypto Fear & Greed Index moved from Extreme Fear to Fear
    • Overall crypto market cap increased by over $100 billion

    Regulatory Environment Supports Rally

    Bo Hines, executive director of the President’s Council of Advisors on Digital Assets, highlighted that recent policy shifts have created a more favorable environment for crypto development. The confirmation of Paul Atkins as SEC Chair has further strengthened this pro-crypto stance, potentially setting the stage for sustained growth.

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    Meme Coin Surge Analysis

    The rally has particularly benefited the meme coin sector, with several tokens posting double-digit gains:

    • Fartcoin ($FARTCOIN): 27% increase in 24 hours
    • Trading volume reached $450M
    • Multiple meme coins testing previous resistance levels

    Market Outlook and Trading Opportunities

    The 90-day tariff pause creates a crucial window for crypto market growth. Analysts suggest this could lead to sustained momentum through Q2 2025, particularly benefiting established cryptocurrencies and emerging projects with strong fundamentals.

    Key Factors to Watch

    • Institutional investment flows
    • Regulatory developments
    • Global trade policy impacts
    • Market sentiment indicators

    FAQ Section

    How long will the tariff pause last?

    The pause is scheduled for 90 days, providing a temporary relief for markets through Q2 2025.

    What caused Bitcoin’s price surge?

    The combination of tariff pause announcement and improved regulatory outlook created positive momentum.

    Will the rally continue?

    While short-term momentum is strong, investors should monitor global economic indicators and regulatory developments for sustained growth signals.

    Conclusion: The market’s response to Trump’s tariff pause demonstrates crypto’s increasing correlation with macro policy decisions. While the immediate outlook appears positive, investors should maintain disciplined risk management practices and monitor key market indicators for sustained momentum.

  • Bitcoin Surges 8% to $83.5K as Trump Pauses Global Tariffs

    Bitcoin surged over 8% to reach $83,588 on Wednesday following President Trump’s announcement of a 90-day pause on new reciprocal tariffs for most countries, excluding China. This dramatic price movement came as recession odds dropped significantly after Trump’s tariff pause announcement, though uncertainty remains around US-China trade tensions.

    The cryptocurrency market reacted positively to Trump’s decision to temporarily halt tariffs for 75 countries while simultaneously raising China’s rate to 125%. This selective approach has created a unique dynamic in global markets, with Bitcoin emerging as a key beneficiary of the shifting trade landscape.

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    Market Expert Analysis: Potential for Further Upside

    Joe McCann, founder of crypto fund Asymmetric, suggests that markets haven’t yet priced in a potential China deal, indicating room for significant upside. His analysis shows that while markets have adjusted to the selective tariff approach, a breakthrough in US-China negotiations could trigger an explosive rally.

    This perspective gains additional weight when considering that Bitcoin recently tested critical support at $77K before this dramatic reversal.

    Cautionary Signals Remain

    Despite the rally, some experts urge caution. Jeff Park of Bitwise points to persistent headwinds including:

    • Weakened yuan dynamics
    • 10-year Treasury yields above 4%
    • Credit spreads exceeding 400 basis points
    • Potential Federal Reserve policy shifts

    Goldman Sachs Revises Economic Outlook

    In a significant development, Goldman Sachs has withdrawn its recession baseline forecast, now projecting:

    • 0.5% Q4/Q4 GDP growth in 2025
    • 45% recession probability
    • Three 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts (June-September)

    CPI Data Could Impact Bitcoin’s Next Move

    Today’s upcoming CPI release could prove crucial for Bitcoin’s price trajectory. Market expectations include:

    • Projected YoY drop to 2.5-2.6%
    • Core CPI expected at 3.0-3.1%
    • Potential impact on Fed policy decisions

    FAQ Section

    How will Trump’s tariff pause affect Bitcoin long-term?

    The pause could reduce market uncertainty and potentially support Bitcoin’s role as a global trade hedge, though China tensions remain a key factor.

    What are the key price levels to watch?

    Current support sits at $81,000 with resistance at $84,000. The recent high of $83,588 serves as an immediate technical reference.

    Could CPI data reverse Bitcoin’s gains?

    Higher-than-expected inflation could trigger market volatility, potentially affecting Bitcoin’s recent momentum.

  • Ethereum Price Surges 15% as Trump’s Tariff Pause Ignites Crypto Rally

    Ethereum (ETH) has experienced a remarkable 15% surge, breaking above the critical $1,600 level as cryptocurrency markets respond to Trump’s unexpected tariff pause announcement. This price action mirrors the broader crypto market rally, with Bitcoin also soaring past $83K in response to the trade war de-escalation.

    Technical Analysis: ETH’s Bullish Breakout

    After establishing strong support at $1,380, Ethereum’s price action has shown impressive momentum, breaking through multiple resistance levels:

    • Cleared the bearish trend line at $1,470
    • Surpassed both $1,550 and $1,600 resistance zones
    • Currently trading above the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average
    • Formed a new local high at $1,687

    Key Price Levels to Watch

    For traders and investors monitoring Ethereum’s movement, several critical price levels demand attention:

    Resistance Levels:

    • Immediate resistance: $1,650
    • Major resistance: $1,720
    • Extended targets: $1,850-1,880 zone

    Support Levels:

    • Primary support: $1,615
    • Secondary support: $1,580
    • Critical support: $1,535

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    Market Indicators Signal Strong Momentum

    Technical indicators are painting a bullish picture for Ethereum:

    • MACD: Showing increasing momentum in the bullish zone
    • RSI: Trading above 50, indicating healthy buying pressure
    • Fibonacci retracement: Price holding above 23.6% level

    Potential Scenarios and Risk Analysis

    While the current trend appears strongly bullish, traders should consider potential scenarios:

    Bullish Case:

    • Break above $1,720 could trigger rally to $1,850
    • Sustained trading above $1,650 supports continued upward momentum
    • Volume profile suggests strong buyer interest at current levels

    Bearish Case:

    • Failure to hold $1,650 might trigger correction to $1,580
    • Break below $1,535 could signal deeper retracement
    • Watch for potential divergence in momentum indicators

    FAQ

    What caused Ethereum’s recent price surge?

    The primary catalyst appears to be Trump’s announcement of a 90-day tariff pause, which has positively impacted global markets, including cryptocurrencies.

    Will Ethereum maintain its current momentum?

    Technical indicators suggest strong bullish momentum, but traders should monitor key resistance levels and global market conditions for confirmation.

    What are the key support levels to watch?

    The most important support levels are $1,615, $1,580, and $1,535, with the latter being crucial for maintaining the current uptrend.

  • Bitcoin Surges Past $83K as Trump’s Tariff Pause Sparks Rally

    Bitcoin’s price has surged above $83,000 in a dramatic market rally following Trump’s announcement of a global tariff pause. The leading cryptocurrency demonstrated remarkable strength, breaking through multiple resistance levels and signaling renewed bullish momentum.

    In a significant development that ties directly to Trump’s recent announcement of a 90-day global tariff pause, Bitcoin has shown impressive price action, climbing from $74,500 to establish new local highs.

    Technical Analysis Reveals Strong Momentum

    The current price action shows several bullish indicators:

    • Break above key bearish trend line at $78,800
    • Trading well above the 100-hour Simple Moving Average
    • RSI readings above 50, indicating strong momentum
    • MACD showing increasing bullish momentum

    Key Price Levels to Watch

    Critical support and resistance levels have emerged:

    Support Levels Resistance Levels
    $81,400 $83,500
    $80,500 $84,500
    $79,500 $85,800

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    Market Impact and Future Outlook

    The recent price surge coincides with increasing institutional interest in digital assets, suggesting sustained momentum could push Bitcoin toward the $88,000 level. However, traders should remain cautious of potential retracements to key support levels.

    Frequently Asked Questions

    What caused Bitcoin’s recent price surge?

    The primary catalyst was Trump’s announcement of a global tariff pause, which reduced market uncertainty and encouraged risk-on sentiment.

    What are the key resistance levels to watch?

    The immediate resistance levels are $83,500 and $84,500, with $85,800 serving as a major psychological barrier.

    Is this rally sustainable?

    Technical indicators and institutional interest suggest strong momentum, but traders should monitor support levels for potential consolidation.

  • Bitcoin Plunges to $76K as Trump Tariffs Trigger Bond Market Crisis

    Bitcoin Plunges to $76K as Trump Tariffs Trigger Bond Market Crisis

    The cryptocurrency market is facing severe turbulence as Bitcoin drops to $76,952 amid an unprecedented bond market crisis triggered by Trump’s new tariff policies. The turmoil in traditional markets is sending shockwaves through the crypto ecosystem, with experts warning of potential systemic risks.

    Jim Bianco of Bianco Research raised alarm bells on X, stating: “Something has broken tonight in the bond market. We are seeing a disorderly liquidation.” The 30-year US Treasury yield’s historic 56 basis point spike in just three days signals severe market stress not seen since 1982.

    This development comes as US Treasury yields surge to levels not witnessed since 1981, creating a perfect storm in global financial markets.

    Bond Market Crisis: What’s Really Happening?

    At the core of this market upheaval is the basis trade – a leveraged strategy used by hedge funds to profit from price differences between Treasury futures and bonds. The rapid unwinding of these positions has triggered a cascade of selling pressure, pushing yields to critical levels.

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    Bitcoin’s Response to Market Chaos

    Bitcoin’s price action reflects growing correlation with traditional risk assets, dropping 8% as S&P futures plummeted 12%. This mirrors the broader market reaction to escalating trade war tensions and retaliatory tariffs.

    Expert Outlook and Market Implications

    Leading analysts, including Stack Hodler, suggest this crisis could be worse than 2008, presenting two potential outcomes: total market collapse or significant Fed intervention. The latter scenario could prove highly bullish for Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary policy actions.

    Key Market Indicators to Watch

    • US Dollar Index (DXY) movement
    • Treasury yield trajectories
    • Federal Reserve response
    • Global trade war developments

    FAQs About the Current Market Situation

    Q: How will this affect Bitcoin in the short term?
    A: Immediate pressure could persist, but potential Fed intervention could trigger a significant rally.

    Q: Is Bitcoin still a safe haven asset?
    A: While currently showing correlation with risk assets, Bitcoin’s fundamentals as a hedge against monetary intervention remain strong.

    Q: What should crypto investors do?
    A: Focus on long-term fundamentals and consider dollar-cost averaging during market volatility.

  • Recession Odds Drop as Trump Halts Global Tariffs: Crypto Markets React

    Recession Odds Drop as Trump Halts Global Tariffs: Crypto Markets React

    Prediction markets are signaling reduced recession risks for the US economy following Trump’s decision to pause reciprocal tariffs, with major implications for crypto markets and digital asset trading. The news has already triggered significant upward momentum in Bitcoin, as traders adjust their positions based on improving economic outlook.

    Prediction Markets Show Declining Recession Risk

    Leading prediction platforms including Myriad Markets, Kalshi, and Polymarket have witnessed a notable shift in user sentiment regarding US recession probability. This shift comes as market participants process the implications of Trump’s tariff pause decision on global trade and economic growth.

    Impact on Crypto Markets

    The reduced recession risk has significant implications for digital asset markets:

    • Improved risk appetite among institutional investors
    • Potential increase in crypto adoption as economic uncertainty decreases
    • Stronger foundation for DeFi growth and development

    Trade War De-escalation Benefits

    Previous concerns about escalating trade tensions are now being replaced by optimism for global economic stability. This shift could provide a more favorable environment for crypto markets and digital asset adoption.

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    Expert Analysis

    Market analysts suggest that the reduction in recession probability could lead to increased institutional investment in digital assets as part of broader risk-on sentiment. This aligns with recent trends showing growing institutional interest in crypto markets.

    FAQs

    How does reduced recession risk affect crypto markets?

    Lower recession risk typically leads to increased risk appetite and higher investment in digital assets.

    What role do prediction markets play in crypto trading?

    Prediction markets provide valuable insights into market sentiment and help traders make informed decisions.

    How might Trump’s tariff pause impact crypto adoption?

    Reduced trade tensions could create a more favorable environment for global crypto adoption and institutional investment.